Publications

Publications

Chinese and Indian Responses to the Gaza War

China-India Brief, Centre on Asia and Globalisation,
Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

The war in Gaza, especially its disruption of maritime shipping through the Red Sea and potential to escalate into a wider regional conflict, threatens important Chinese and Indian material interests. Those threats have naturally conditioned aspects of the wartime policy responses from Beijing and New Delhi.

However, because neither China nor India perceives the war as a vital threat, and because neither wields great influence over its conduct or outcome, their policy responses have tended to reflect a range of other parochial aims. Above all, China has opportunistically turned the war into an exercise in diplomatic point-scoring against the United States (US). India, for its part, has clung stubbornly to a pre-war vision for the “new Middle East.” For now, China’s approach appears to be paying greater dividends, but India’s policies already serve important domestic political purposes and might still pay off over the long run.

February 2024


U.S. President Joe Biden joined other leaders for a photo at the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework meeting at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco on Nov. 16, 2023. (Doug Mills/The New York Times)

Two Years Later, What Has the Indo-Pacific Strategy Achieved?

US Institute of Peace

This month marks the second anniversary of the Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS). USIP experts Carla Freeman, Mirna Galic, Daniel Markey, and Vikram Singh assess what the strategy has accomplished in the past two years, how it has navigated global shocks and its impact on partnerships in the region.

February 2024


‘A setback for US-Bangladesh relations’

US Institute of Peace

Daniel Markey, senior advisor for South Asia Programs at the United States Institute of Peace, speaks to Ramisa Rob of The Daily Star about the US perspective on Bangladesh’s January 7 election.

January 2024


Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, left, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, right, at the India-Israel Business Summit in New Delhi, Jan. 15, 2018. (Indian Ministry of External Affairs)

Amid War in the Middle East, India-Israel Ties Reach New Milestone

US Institute of Peace

The U.S. should not see India’s support for Israel as evidence of a broader alignment with Washington, as New Delhi sees the war through a different prism.

November 2023


Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese leader Xi Jinping meet in Wuhan, China, April 27, 2018. Even as tensions simmer, both leaders want to prevent an escalation that could lead to conflict. (Indian Ministry of External Affairs)

Three Things to Know About China-India Tensions

US Institute of Peace

While neither side wants escalation, their actions risk exacerbating a classic security dilemma, leading to costly, high-stakes competition.

October 2023


India as It Is

Foreign Affairs

Washington and New Delhi Share Interests, Not Values

July/August, 2023


‘China’s aggression, Russian’s unreliability, convinced India to value US’

Rediff

Dr Markey — currently, a Senior Advisor, South Asia at the Washington, DC think-tank, the United States Institute of Peace — took time out from his schedule to answer Nikhil Lakshman’s questions.

June 30, 2023


President Joe Biden meets with Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India in Tokyo, May 24, 2022. (Doug Mills/The New York Times)

Modi’s Trip to Washington Marks New Heights in U.S.-India Ties

US Institute of Peace

The bedrock for cooperation between the United States and India lies in a shared interest in deterring Chinese territorial aggression and challenging the extension of China’s political influence and military presence in India’s backyard.

June 20, 2023


Uncertain Aims on the Line of Actual Control

China-India Brief, Centre on Asia and Globalisation,
Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

Three years after a deadly brawl between Indian and Chinese forces along the Line of Actual Control (LAC), relations between Beijing and New Delhi remain in what Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has repeatedly described as an “abnormal” condition. Strangely, at the heart of a dispute that has persisted over decades now lie troubling questions about the basic policy aims of both sides. Whereas until the early 2010s Beijing and New Delhi appear to have understood each other’s priorities, core interests, and redlines sufficiently to manage the border without serious violence, a stepwise uptick in border skirmishing since then—with no end in sight—suggests that they now lack clarity.

May 23, 2023


Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang addresses the U.N Human Right Council, Feb. 27, 2023. (U.N. Geneva)

Five Takeaways from China’s Latest Diplomacy
US Institute of Peace

As the U.S. and China resume high-level engagement, Beijing is pushing for a role as mediator in Ukraine and as a key player amid crises in its backyard.

May 18, 2023


Indian Prime Minister Modi greets German Chancellor Scholz at the 2022 G-7 summit in Germany. In 2023, India will look to burnish it international influence as it chairs the G-20 and Shanghai Cooperation Organization. (Kenny Holston/The New York Times)

What to Watch in 2023: India’s Pivotal Year on the Global Stage
US Institute of Peace

A “Year of Cognitive Dissonance”: India’s relations with Russia and China.

February 8, 2023


A Brahmos launcher during a rehearsal for the India’s 2011 Republic Day Parade. In 2021, an India Brahmos missile test misfired into Pakistani territory, sparking concerns of escalation between the rival nuclear powers. (Press Information Bureau)

The Persistent Threat of Nuclear Crises Among China, India and Pakistan 

US Institute of Peace

Southern Asia’s strategic stability is getting harder to manage because of geopolitical changes and evolving military technologies.

February 1, 2023


Go to journal home page - Orbis

The Future of US-India Strategic Partnership in the Face of Southern Asia’s Nuclear Transitions, Orbis

IN REVIEW: Ashley J. Tellis, Striking Asymmetries: Nuclear Transitions in Southern Asia (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2022)

January, 2023


An Indian military base in Tawang, Arunachal Pradesh, India. June 9, 2009. (Shiho Fukada/The New York Times)

Another Clash on the India-China Border Underscores Risks of Militarization

US Institute of Peace

December 20, 2022


Issue Cover

From Bad to Worse: Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and China–India Relations, Asian Survey 62 (5-6): 782-810

December 2022


 

India and the Ukraine Crisis, FPRC Journal

July 2022


The first leaders summit of the I2U2, Jerusalem, July 14, 2022. (Doug Mills/The New York Times)

What You Need to Know About the I2U2, US Institute of Peace

July 28, 2022


Beware the Himalayan Heat: China, India, and Pakistan on the Brink, The Diplomat, with Andrew Scobell and Vikram Singh

May 17, 2022


Enhancing Strategic Stability in Southern Asia: USIP Senior Study Group Final Report cover

Enhancing Strategic Stability in Southern Asia, US Institute of Peace

May 2022


The Strategic Implications of India’s Illiberalism and Democratic Erosion, Asia Policy, vol 17, no 1

January 2022


America’s Perennial Pakistan Problem, Foreign Affairs

September 9, 2021


What Does the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan Mean for China?, A ChinaFile Conversation

August 26, 2021


India’s Vulnerabilities Leave No Choice but Partnership, China-India Brief #182, Centre on Asia and Globalisation, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy.

May 25, 2021


 

The Strategic Consequences of India’s COVID-19 Crisis, Council on Foreign Relations, Strength Through Peace

April 28, 2021


 

Preparing for Heightened Tensions Between China and India, Council on Foreign Relations

April 19, 2021


75 Years of India-US Relations, FPRC Journal

March 22, 2021


The best place to test cooperation with China is in Afghanistan

The best place to test cooperation with China is in Afghanistan, The Hill

March 22, 2021


After the Apocalypse: China, Inkstick

February 11, 2021


Tipping the Geopolitical Balance, iai News

August 19, 2020

China’s Western Opportunities, Asia Pacific Bulletin,

June 30, 2020


How Is the Coronavirus Outbreak Affecting China’s Relations with Its Asian Neighbors?, A ChinaFile Conversation,

April 26, 2020


 

China’s Western Horizon Summary, The Ambassador’s Brief,

April 25, 2020


 

How the United States Should Deal with China in Pakistan, Carnegie Endowment,

April 8, 2020


 

Responding to China’s New Tools of Global Influence, War on the Rocks

April 1, 2020


 

Why Iran’s Dependence on China Puts It at Risk, Oxford University Press Blog

March 16, 2020


Page 99 Test, Campaign for the American Reader

March 5, 2020


Trump’s Three Missteps on Pakistan, Lawfare

July 28, 2019

 

 

 

 

March 21, 2018

 

 


Reviewed Work:
Guardians of God: Inside the Religious Mind of the Pakistani Taliban
Bustan: The Middle East Book Review

Fall 2017

 


Why the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Will Worsen Tensions in Southern AsiaWar On The Rocks

September 28, 2017

 


The South Asian Vortex,The American Interest

September 13, 2017

 


Washington Runs Serious Risk in Coercing IslamabadThe Cipher Brief

August 23, 2017

 


Cipher Brief Expert View: Sharif’s Resignation a Win for Pakistani MilitaryThe Cipher Brief

July 28, 2017

 


Pakistan’s Proxy Strategy Principal Cause of Mistrust for U.S.The Cipher Brief

July 6, 2017

 


Pakistan’s Entrenched Deep State, The Cipher Brief

March 22, 2017


Pakistan Needs a Dose of Trump’s Madman DiplomacyForeign Policy

January 6, 2017


What Future for the Asia Pivot Under Trump?, Council on Foreign Relations

December 14, 2016


Pakistan’s Influence and Control, The Cipher Brief

October 12, 2016
 
 
 
 
 

Shrewd move: India’s surgical strikes delivered the right messages to multiple audiences at once, Scroll

October  2, 2016


Subcontinental Drift, The American Interest

September/October 2016


Rebalance the Rebalance: China, India, and the United States, Foreign Affairs

July 13, 2016


Behind China’s Gambit in Pakistan, Council on Foreign Relations

May 12, 2016


A Real Force To Be Reckoned With, The Cipher Brief

April 20, 2016


Preparing for Change, The Cipher Brief

March 29, 2016


Stop Writing Pakistan Blank Checks, Foreign Policy

February 16, 2016


The Strange Tale of Sino-Pakistani Friendship, Asia Policy

January 28, 2016


Perspectives on the Contest of the Century: The View from the U.S., The Cipher Brief

January 4, 2016


Why a Nuclear Deal With Pakistan Is Not Realistic, Timely, or Wise, Testimony before House Committee on Foreign Affairs

December 8, 2015


The Sino-Indian Conflict Scenario, The Diplomat

December 2, 2015


It’s Time for a Frank Talk with Pakistan’s Army Chief, Defense One

November 17, 2015


Armed Confrontation Between China and IndiaCouncil on Foreign Relations

November 2015


No Time for a Nuclear Deal with PakistanThe Diplomat

October 22, 2015


The Pakistan Problem: Superficially NormalThe Cipher Brief

October 7, 2015


Buying More TimeThe Cipher Brief

August 25, 2015


Taliban in Transition: Three Things to KnowCouncil on Foreign Relations

August 19, 2015


A New Era for China and Pakistan?, China File

April 23, 2015


Peace Through Strength, Indian-style, Indian Express

January 26, 2015


Down But Not Out: Kerry’s Diplomatic Opportunity in South Asia, Foreign Policy

January 13, 2015


Media Conference Call: Peshawar School AttackCouncil on Foreign Relations

December 17, 2014


Behind Pakistan’s Taliban WarCouncil on Foreign Relations interview

December 17, 2014


A Review of “The Army and Democracy: Military Politics in Pakistan,” Asian Affairs, Volume 41, 2014 – Issue 4

December 12, 2014


The Future of U.S.-Pakistan Relations, Seminar

December 1, 2014


Pakistani Military Cool Amid Political Crisis, Council on Foreign Relations interview

September 12, 2014


India, U.S., and the Bounds of Goodwill, Indian Express

September 4, 2014


The National Security Implications of Pakistan’s Latest Political Crisis, Just Security

August 27, 2014


Why Street Protests Work in Pakistan, Foreign Policy

August 15, 2014


Saudi Arabia’s New Strategic Game in South Asia

July 18, 2014


The Different Taliban Worlds, Council on Foreign Relations interview

July 10, 2014


Planning for Withdrawal in Afghanistan May Be Smart, But It’s Not Wise, Defense One

April 15, 2014


No Surprises in Pakistan, Indian Express

April 1, 2014


In Bad Faith, Foreign Policy

February 19, 2014


Reorienting U.S. Pakistan Strategy: Three Things to Know, Council on Foreign Relations

January 21, 2014


How will the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan affect U.S.-Pakistan relations?, Ask CFR Experts

January 21, 2014


Reorienting U.S. Pakistan StrategyCouncil on Foreign Relations

January, 2014


Prospects for Afghanistan in 2014Council on Foreign Relations

December 18, 2013


Pakistan’s New Army Chief: What it Means for the United States, Los Angeles Times

December 6, 2013


Keeping a Foothold in Pakistan, World Affairs Council of Northern California

December 5, 2013


The State of U.S.-Pakistan Relations

December 4, 2013


Killing of Pakistani Terrorist Is a Possible Turning Point, The Washington Post

November 8, 2013


U.S.-Pakistan Relations, CFR Transcript

October 23, 2013


Let Pakistan’s Taliban Talks Fail Without Us, Reuters

October 22, 2013


What is the impact of growing Pakistan-China relations on the United States and India?, Ask CFR Experts

October 15, 2013


Politics and Indo-Pakistani Normalization, CFR Expert Brief

October 14, 2013


No Exit from Pakistan: America’s Tortured Relationship with Islamabad, Cambridge University Press

October, 2013


Caught In A Tangled Web, Indian Express

September 18, 2013


A Big New Idea for U.S.-Pakistan Relations, Defense One

August 7, 2013


How to Read the U.S.-Pakistani Restart, Council on Foreign Relations Interview

August 5, 2013


A New Drone Deal For Pakistan, Foreign Affairs

July 16, 2013


What should be the key constructs of the U.S. engagement with Pakistan, specially post 2014?, Ask CFR Experts

June 28, 2013


United States Should Remove Barriers to Trade With Pakistan, India, The Washington Post

June 6, 2013


Media Conference Call: Daniel Markey and Cameron Munter

May 15, 2013


Three Priorities for Pakistan’s New Government, The Christian Science Monitor

May 14, 2013


Viewpoints: The Impact of Elections in Pakistan, BBC

May 13, 2013


What if Pakistan’s ‘Old Lion’ Returns to Govern?Council on Foreign Relations

May 7, 2013


Online Debate: The Civil-Military Equation in Pakistan, Indian Council on Foreign Relations

May 6, 2013


Well, This Is Awkward, Foreign Policy 

April 25, 2013


Pakistan Update: Religion, Violence, and ResponsibilityCouncil on Foreign Relations

April 2, 2013


Media Conference Call: Ryan Crocker and Daniel Markey on Pakistani ElectionsCouncil on Foreign Relations

April 1, 2013


How can the United States assist dialogue between India and Pakistan on Afghanistan? Council on Foreign Relations

April 1, 2013


A Pakistani Strategic Shift? Testimony before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs

March 19, 2013


Pakistan’s Wildcard, Foreign Policy 

March 14, 2013


Support Process Over Personalities in PakistanCouncil on Foreign Relations

February, 2013


Is This Time Different?, The American Interest

January 10, 2013


A New ‘Degree of Hope’ for AfghanistanCouncil on Foreign Relations

December 19, 2012


The Nixon Test, The Indian Express

October 24, 2012


The Haqqani Network Blacklisted: Three Things to KnowCouncil on Foreign Relations

September 7, 2012


Eye of the Storm for U.S.-Pakistan Relations

August 21, 2012


The Widening U.S.-Pakistan Rift

June 7, 2012


Afghanistan’s Cross-Border Threat

April 18, 2012


Video Brief: India

March 29, 2012


Gauging Taliban Moves in Pakistan

March 8, 2012


U.S.-Pakistan Relations: The Year Past, The Year Ahead

February 2, 2012


Video Brief: Pakistan

February 2, 2012


Media Conference Call: A Tougher U.S. Tack on Pakistan

September 28, 2011


A Tougher U.S. Tack on Pakistan

September 28, 2011


The Gloves Come Off

September 23, 2011


Managing Instability on China’s Periphery, “Pakistan Contingencies,” Council on Foreign Relations

September 2011


9/11 Lessons: Afghanistan and Pakistan

August 26, 2011


Another Challenge to U.S.-Pakistan Ties

July 21, 2011


How Cuts Affect U.S.-Pakistan Ties

July 11, 2011


Beyond bin Laden, “Islamabad, Washington, and the Long Road Ahead”

May 2011


Next Steps for Pakistan Strategy

May 2011


Can We Trust Pakistan?

May 9, 2011


The U.S. Strategy In Afghanistan And Pakistan

May 4, 2011


Bin Laden Death Heightens U.S.-Pakistan Tensions

May 3, 2011


What’s Next for al-Qaeda?

May 2, 2011


More Tense Times Ahead for U.S.-Pakistan

May 2, 2011


Can We Trust Pakistan?

May 9, 2011


The U.S. Strategy In Afghanistan And Pakistan

May 4, 2011


Bin Laden Death Heightens U.S.-Pakistan Tensions

May 3, 2011


What’s Next for al-Qaeda?

May 2, 2011


More Tense Times Ahead for U.S.-Pakistan

May 2, 2011


U.S.-Pakistan Partnership in Peril

April 14, 2011


“Pakistan,” in Climate Change and National Security A Country-Level Analysis, Georgetown University Press

March 2011


U.S.-Pakistan Intel Ties in Trouble

March 4, 2011


India-Pakistan Renewed Talks Offer Strategic Opportunity

February 18, 2011


U.S.-Pakistan Relations and the Raymond Davis Crisis

February 2, 2011


Review Won’t Alter Pakistan’s Behavior

December 16, 2010


U.S. Strategy for Pakistan and Afghanistan: Report of a CFR-Sponsored Independent Task Force

December 16, 2010


Failing Afghanistan

December 3, 2010


Will WikiLeaks Hobble U.S. Diplomacy?

December 1, 2010


Council on Foreign Relations Press Conference: Release Of CFR Report on U.S. Strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan

November 12, 2010


U.S. Strategy for Pakistan and Afghanistan

November 12, 2010


U.S. Strategy for Pakistan and Afghanistan

November 2010


Bactrian Gold: Challenges and Hope for Private Sector Development in Afghanistan

November 1, 2010


Solving the Kashmir Conundrum

October 15, 2010


Council on Foreign Relations/Foreign Affairs Back-to-School Event

October 15, 2010


Torrent of Challenges for U.S. in Pakistan

August 20, 2010


WikiLeaks: The Revelations That Aren’t

July 26, 2010


Pakistan’s Gambit in Afghanistan

July 30, 2010


Pakistan’s Shrewd Shift in Dialogue

March 25, 2010


Media Conference Call: U.S. Strategy in Pakistan and Afghanistan

February 25, 2010


Academic Conference Call: India-Pakistan Relations (Audio)

January 27, 2010


Terrorism and Indo-Pakistani Escalation

January 2010


Watching Pakistan Teeter

December 29, 2009


Assessing the Afghan Surge

December 2, 2009


Pakistani Partnerships with the United States: An Assessment

November 12, 2009


Media Conference Call: CFR Scholars Return from AfPak Region

October 30, 2009


U.S.-Pakistan Trust Deficit

October 15, 2009


Don’t Waste the Afghan Election Crisis

September 15, 2009


Teaching Notes: Securing Pakistan’s Tribal Belt

August 20, 2009


Pakistan’s Stake in the Afghan Election

August 20, 2009


Measure Progress the Right Way, The Des Moines Register

July 26, 2009


How the Kashmir Dispute Affects Security in South Asia

July 14, 2009


Developing India’s Foreign Policy “Software,” Asia Policy

July 2009


From AfPak to PakAf: A Response to the New U.S. Strategy for South Asia, Council on Foreign Relations Policy Options Paper

April 2009


Building Trust Among Anti-Taliban Allies

May 7, 2009


The Current State of Play: Session I of a Council on Foreign Relations Symposium on Afghanistan, Pakistan and U.S. National Security

April 21, 2009


Zardari’s War, Foreign Policy

March 2009


India, Pakistan, and the Role of Religion (Audio)

February 11, 2009


The President’s Inbox: The Greater Middle East

January 23, 2009


So You Want to Be a Special Envoy…, Foreign Policy

January 2009


Mumbai: A Battle in the War for Pakistan

December 12, 2008


Preventive Priorities for a New Era, Session II

December 9, 2008


Pakistan’s Militants Trouble New Delhi and Islamabad

December 2, 2008


Afghanistan–A View from the Battleground

November 24, 2008


For Pakistan, a Global Downturn Adds to Woes

November 18, 2008


The Karzai Question, International Herald Tribune

November 17, 2008


Pakistan Postscript, The National Interest

October 30, 2008


Economic Challenges Add to Pakistan’s Woes

October 24, 2008


Testimony – House Oversight and Govt Reform Hearing on Pakistan, “From Ad Hoc and Transactional to Strategic and Enduring”

September 24, 2008


U.S. and Pakistan Must Grieve, then Unify After Marriott Bombing

September 21, 2008


Hotbed of Terror

August 11, 2008


Securing Pakistan’s Tribal Belt, Council on Foreign Relations

July/August 2008


Is a Pakistan Truce Good for the United States?

May 21, 2008


 Why Pakistan Plays ‘Lets Make a Deal’

May 8, 2008


Continuing Challenges for U.S. Foreign Policy: Pakistan (Audio)

February 26, 2008


Letter to the Editor: India Watch

February 16, 2008


Daniel Markey on Pakistan

March 24, 2008


Continuing Challenges for U.S. Foreign Policy: Pakistan [Rush Transcript; Federal News Service]

February 26, 2008


Media Conference Call: Pakistan’s Election [Rush Transcript; Federal News Service]

February 19, 2008


CFR Scholars Respond to State of the Union

January 28, 2008


Quiet continuity for U.S.-India relations

January 7, 2008


Media Conference Call: Daniel Markey on the Assassination of Benazir Bhutto [Rush Transcript; Federal News Service]

December 27, 2007


Policy Options Paper–Pakistan

December 2007


Should the U.S. Abandon Pervez Musharraf?

November 27, 2007


Teleconference: The Situation in Pakistan

November 6, 2007


Markey: Crucial To Hold Pakistan Elections on Time in January

November 5, 2007


The Summer of Pakistan’s Discontent

September 20, 2007


No Substitute for American Resolve

August 17-23, 2007


Conference Call with Daniel Markey

July 25, 2007


A False Choice in Pakistan

July/August 2007


Depersonalizing relations with Pakistan

June 6, 2007


Markey: Concerns That Anti-Musharraf Protests Could Spiral Out of Control

May 16, 2007


The Struggle Within:  What Pakistan’s Unrest Could Mean for the United States

May 16, 2007


Markey: Complex U.S.-Pakistan Relations

February 26, 2007